JOINT LETTER TO IEA

On April 2, 2019 a letter was sent to Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA) from over sixty leaders from within the climate community. The letter requested raised ambition, in particular alignment with the Paris 1.5ºC goal, be properly reflected in the upcoming, highly influential World Energy Outlook (WEO). Below is an excerpt of the letter along with the list of co-signatories.

 

"We are therefore calling on the IEA to:

 

1) Make clear that the New Policies Scenario (NPS) is a business as usual scenario that charts a dangerous course to a world with between 2.7ºC and 3ºC of warming. We recognize that it has always been your intent to warn policymakers of the insufficiency of the NPS, but given the central role it plays in the WEO, most users interpret this scenario as the guiding one. We suggest that the NPS scenario take on another name that more clearly communicates its shortfall. “New Policies” is by now no longer new, and it clearly represents an insufficient level and pace of transformation.

 

2) Develop an updated, fully transparent, ‘Sustainable Development Scenario’ (SDS) to reflect the full range of ambition of the Paris goals and make this the central reference of the WEO. This scenario should include a reasonable probability (66%) of limiting warming to 1.5ºC; a longer time horizon (beyond 2040); and a precautionary approach to negative emissions technologies. With the understanding that there are limitations and uncertainties in both industrial and natural approaches to negative emissions, natural carbon sinks must be prioritized. This scenario should also reflect the latest evidence of the pace and potential penetration of clean technologies, and their continuing rapidly falling costs. The current SDS emissions profile is effectively the same as the Copenhagen-era 450 Scenario, which aimed for only a 50% probability of keeping below 2ºC. As mentioned above, we now know the scope of the consequential difference between 1.5ºC and 2ºC."

 

Yours sincerely,

 

  • Achala C. Abeysinghe Head, Global Climate Law, Policy and Governance Programme, International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED)
  • Lord Adair Turner, Chair, Energy Transitions Commission
  • Anand Mahindra, Chairman, Mahindra Group
  • Aron Cramer, Chief Executive Officer, BSR
  • Bill Hare, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Climate Analytics
  • Catherine Howarth, Chief Executive Officer, Share Action
  • Christiana Figueres, Convenor, Mission 2020
  • Eduardo Paes, Former Mayor of Rio and former Chair of C40
  • Rt Hon Sir Edward Davey, Member of Parliament and Former UK Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, UK Government
  • Emma Herd, Chief Executive Officer, Investor Group on Climate Change (Aus & NZ)
  • Eric Usher, Head, UN Environment Programme - Finance Initiative
  • Faustine Delasalle, Director, Energy Transitions Commission
  • Fiona Reynolds, Chief Executive Officer, Principles for Responsible Investing (PRI)
  • Fletcher Harper, Director, GreenFaith
  • Gail Whiteman, Professor and Director, Pentland Centre for Sustainability in Business
  • Gebru Jember Endalew, Former Chair, LDC Group in the UNFCCC
  • Helen Clarkson, ED, The Climate Group
  • Helen Mountford, Programme Director, New Climate Economy
  • James Bevan, Chief Investment Officer, CCLA
  • James Hansen, Professor, Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions Program, Earth Institute, Columbia University
  • Jim Leape, William and Eva Price Senior Fellow and Co-Director, Center for Ocean Solutions, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment
  • Joanna Haigh, Co-Director, Grantham Institute for Climate Change & Environment
  • Joeri Rogelj, Lecturer in Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London
  • Johan Rockstrom, Professor & Director, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
  • John Schellnhuber, Professor and Director Emeritus, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
  • Julian Sainsbury, Trustee, JJ Charitable Trust
  • Kelly Clark, Director, Finance Dialogue
  • Laurence Tubiana, CEO, European Climate Foundation
  • Leena Srivastava, Vice Chancellor, Teri University
  • Leon Kamhi, Head of Responsibility, Hermes
  • Lucy Guard, Trustee, JJ Charitable Trust
  • Malte Meinshausen, Director, Climate & Energy College, University of Melbourne
  • Manuel Pulgar Vidal, Climate Leader, WWF
  • Marc Andrus, Bishop, Grace Cathedral, San Francisco
  • Mark Campanale, Founder & Executive Director, Carbon Tracker
  • Mark Watts, Director, C 40
  • Mary Robinson, Former President of Ireland, Mary Robinson Foundation
  • Michael Mann, Distinguished professor of Meteorology, Penn State Director, Earth System Science Centre, Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University
  • Michael Oppenheimer, Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs, Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University
  • Michiel Schaeffer, Director and Senior Scientist, Climate Analytics
  • Mindy Lubber, President, Ceres
  • Monica Araya, Founder and Director, Costa Rica Limpia
  • Natasha Landell-Mills, Partner, Head of Stewardship, Sarasin & Partners
  • Nick Stansbury, Head of Commodity Research, LGIM
  • Nigel Topping, Chief Executive Officer, We Mean Business
  • Niklas Höhne, Professor, Wageningen University of the Netherlands and Partner NewClimate Institute
  • Oliver Bäte, Chair of the Board of Management, Allianz SE
  • Ottmar Edenhofer, Director and Chief Economist, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  • Paul Simpson, Chief Executive Officer, CDP
  • Pavel Kabat, First Chief Scientist and Research Director, World Meteorological Organization
  • Peter Bakker, President & Chief Executive Officer, World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD)
  • Pushker A. Kharecha, Deputy Director, Earth Institute, Columbia University
  • Qiankun Wang, Research Analyst, GEIDCO
  • Rachel Kyte, Chief Executive Officer, Sustainable Energy for All
  • Ram Ramanathan, Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego
  • Rebecca Mikula-Wright, Director, Asia Investor Group on Climate Change (AIGCC)
  • Ricardo Lagos, Former President of Chile & Former UN Special Envoy on Climate Change
  • Sarah Butler-Sloss, Chair, Ashden Trust
  • Seb Beloe, Partner - Head of Research, Listed Equity, WHEB
  • Sharan Burrow, General Secretary, International Trade Union Confederation
  • Sonam P. Wangdi, Chair, UNFCCC LDC (Least Developed Countries) Group
  • Tim Smit, Co-Founder/Executive Chairman, The Eden Project
  • Tomás Insua, Executive Director, Global Climate Catholic Movement